NFL Picks – Week 12

24 11 2009

After a rough week last week we rebounded this week for a nice 12-4 last week. Now that we’ve got our swagger back, let’s get down to what really matters.

Tried finding one of Stafford in uniform, but she's too hot to not post.

– Green Bay over Detroit. We’re too lazy to back this up, but it seems like Detroit plays better with Stafford. Add to that Calvin Johnson being up in the air, and we’ll take the Pack.

– Dallas over Oakland. While Oakland certainly looked better against Cincy, we’re going to keep riding Dallas until they collapse. And they’re at home.

– Giants over Denver. Let’s get this out of the way…Denver isn’t making the playoffs. 6-0 start was nice, but they look like we all thought they would now. And the Giants need this one.

– Atlanta over Tampa Bay. Tampa just fired another coordinator (DC Jim Bates). Atlanta is coming off a tough loss at home. This one could get ugly.

– Miami over Buffalo. Buffalo has hung around in the last couple games, but we’ll take the streaking Dolphins who are still technically alive for a playoff berth.

– Cincinnati over Cleveland. I can’t believe I’m writing this, but the Bengals are better than they played against Oakland. They just got caught up in hearing how great they were. Bounce back week.

– Seattle over St. Louis. Seattle is one of the easiest picks. They beat who they should beat, and lose to who they should lose. They should beat the Rams, and they will.

– Carolina over the Jets. We think the Jets might be playing for a draft spot (read: tanking). And Carolina should be able to run all over the Kris Jenkins-less Jets front.

– Philadelphia over Washington. Down to their third string back, the Redskins are going to have to put the game in the hands of Jason Campbell. And that’s not a good thing.

– Indy over Houston. We’re thinking that Monday Night loss might linger for the Texans. We also think Indy is due for a good performance off a string of decent, but not spectacular games.

Don't Look Now But...He's Back.

– San Diego over Kansas City. Don’t look now, but San Diego is rolling again. And LT’s looked like a living person the last couple of weeks.

– San Francisco over Jacksonville. The game of the weekend for smash-mouth football fans. We’ll take Singletary’s motivational skills in what should be a close game.

– Minnesota over Chicago. We’re going to set the over/under on Cutler picks in this game at 3. We’ll take the over. And a huge game for Purple Jesus.

– Tennessee over Arizona. The Titans seem to be rolling, with the combination of Vince Young and Chris Johnson. With Warner’s status still up in the air, we’ll take the minor upset.

– Baltimore over Pittsburgh. Big Ben is supposedly playing, but he’s not going to

Uncoverable?

be at 100%. This is another game that Baltimore needs, and we like a desperate Baltimore team.

– Patriots over Saints. We’ve gone on record as saying that the Saints don’t lose at home, and trust us – we don’t want to pick the Patriots. But the one question we keep asking is about the Saints defense. Who covers Moss and Welker??? Given that we’ll take the Pats, reluctantly.

Last Week: 12-4

Overall: 102-59

Advertisements




NFL Picks – Week 11

17 11 2009

This will be the day that we knock these out from now on. Tough week last week, but you can’t forecast injuries (excuses, excuses) In other news, finally a full week, no byes. That being said, let’s get rolling.

– Carolina over Miami. Not looking good for the Dolphins this week. No Ronnie Brown, going on the road, still starting Chad Henne…

– Dallas over Washington. Never buy into Jason Campbell. The Packers were motivated in beating up the ‘Boys. The Skins…are coached by Jim Zorn and their plays are called by a guy who was calling bingo in a retirement home this time last month.

– Detroit over Cleveland. Detroit has Calvin Johnson. That’s the only reason we’re picking them.

– Green Bay over San Fran. Last week was a good start for the Pack. Plus the Niners are coming off nearly giving up a game where they were +5 in turnover margin. We love this video, think Singletary is headed for great things on the sidelines.

– Pittsburgh over Kansas City. No Dwayne Bowe (PED suspension) for the Chiefs. No LJ for the Chiefs (not that it really matters) Steelers in a blowout.

– Giants over Atlanta. While we think Atlanta is good, they won’t be without Michael Turner and Matt Ryan playing in a funk (11 INTs over the last 6 games). Plus the Giants have to beat somebody, right?

– New Orleans over Tampa Bay. The Saints are still good, they just have some holes. Tampa cannot exploit those holes.

– Jacksonville over Buffalo. Sorry Bills fans. Not riding the “win one for the interim coach” train.

– Indy over Baltimore. Tempting to pick the Ravens here. Colts are just coming off an emotional, hard fought win. Baltimore is a team that out man the Colts along the lines. But in the end, we’ll take #18.

– Minnesota over Seattle. Still early, but Farve for MVP? (Our take – can’t be an MVP when you’re the third best player on your team: see Peterson, Adrian and Allen, Jared.)

– Arizona over St. Louis. Sell on the Rams after the almost upset. They’re not good. Steven Jackson is awesome. Rest of team is terrible.

– New England over the Jets. This could get ugly. A confirmation of how you don’t question Bill Belichick.

– Cincy over Oakland. Benson being banged up hurts, but they didn’t have him for the majority of the Pittsburgh game and still won. They’ve got too much going for them to mess it up against the Raiders.

– San Diego over Denver. Especially if Chris Simms plays. Once he came in, to borrow a line from Anchorman – man that escalated quickly. Denver is too one dimensional right now (pass happy) and that one dimension is one dimensional (short pass happy)

– Philadelphia over Chicago. As bad as the Eagles have looked over recent weeks, the Bears have looked worse. The Eagles are better at the no running game thing.

– Houston over Tennessee. Vince Young Chris Johnson can’t do everything. Too many weapons for the Texans.

Last Week: 7-7 (ouch)

Overall: 90-55





NFL Picks – Week 10

14 11 2009

So, it’s been awhile. But no worries, we’re back (and with inspiration this time!)

This will be a consistent feature on the site, we’re getting a bit of a late start, but we’ve been picking since Week 1. Picking winners, not ATS. Little explanation with each pick, as a way to get some analysis. On to the good stuff.

– San Fran over Chicago. This is late now, but trust me…I had it. Everyone had it. The Bears are not good.

– New Orleans over St. Louis. Does anybody think differently? This is a sure of a thing as you can get.

– Tampa Bay over Miami. Going out on a limb here, but Freeman looked good last week.

– Minnesota over Detroit. Another near sure thing. Tarvaris Jackson could play and Minny still wins handily.

-Jets over Jacksonville. Jets are playing for something, Jacksonville is just terrible (outside of MJD of course)

– Tennessee over Buffalo. Vince Young Chris Johnson just wins games.

– Pittsburgh over Cincy. They’re back. Anyone who watched the second half of MNF saw it. Pitt is scary when they’re on

– Denver over Washington. Bounce back week for the Broncos. A gift from the schedule maker.

– Atlanta over Carolina. The Falcons have lost to some of the best teams in the NFL right now, they’re better than you think.

– Oakland over Kansas City. Wow…ummm….Oakland is at home.

– Arizona over Seattle. Cardinals inconsistent, Seahawks are injured…sound familiar?

– Dallas over Green Bay. The Packers are not good. Dallas is playing well, although we are getting deeper into November, so it won’t last.

– Indy over New England. Colts are at home, and I think the fill-in secondary gets carried by the offense.

– Baltimore over Cleveland. An off week for Monday Night. Ravens will roll.

Overall: 83-48.